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Belgium v Italy Betting Tips [14 November 2024]

Football - UEFA Nations League

14 November 2024 14:45

BELGIUM
Vs
ITALY
Over 2.5 goals
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The match

Belgium are operating at a disadvantage ahead of their meeting with Italy on Match Day 5 of the UEFA Nations League. Whereas Italy need a point to secure a quarter-final place, Belgium are facing the possibility of a relegation playoff. Read on as we build up a prediction for this match. 

Winless in their last three matches in the competition, Belgium are looking to bounce back here. They fought gallantly to draw 2-2 with Italy the last time the two nations met. However, losses to France have left Belgium only with a win against Israel to show. 

They’ve clearly struggled to match the big boys.

Italy’s only loss in this fixture in recent times was in a 2015 friendly match, otherwise they’ve been dominant against Belgium. The last time they met, Italy had a man sent off, giving Belgium the chance to pull back from 2-0 down to 2-2.

Before then, Italy had beaten Belgium in three straight matches. They are coming from a four-match unbeaten run, in which they managed three wins. The most recent of those was a 4-1 victory against Israel. With an additional point to their tally, Italy will confirm a top-two finish and a place in the quarters.

Key Statistics

  • On average 3.4 goals were scored in Italy’s last five away matches.
  • All Belgium’s last seven Nations League home matches had over 2.5 goals.
  • 14 goals were scored in Belgium’s last five matches.
  • Each of France’s last four matches produced at least three goals.
  • In total, 18 goals were scored in Italy’s last five matches.

The bet of our experts

An epic battle awaits at the Stade Roi Baudouin when these two giants clash on Thursday. The first leg meeting was eventful, a player sent off and four goals scored. In most meetings between these nations, we have witnessed high scores.

Over 2.5 goals is never a rare occurrence in Belgium’s matches; the last five had 14 goals, while Italy’s last five matches produced 18 goals. Our prediction for Belgium v Italy is for over 2.5 goals.

Created on 13/11/2024 at 01:11
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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