Belgium are operating at a disadvantage ahead of their meeting with Italy on Match Day 5 of the UEFA Nations League. Whereas Italy need a point to secure a quarter-final place, Belgium are facing the possibility of a relegation playoff. Read on as we build up a prediction for this match.
Winless in their last three matches in the competition, Belgium are looking to bounce back here. They fought gallantly to draw 2-2 with Italy the last time the two nations met. However, losses to France have left Belgium only with a win against Israel to show.
They’ve clearly struggled to match the big boys.
Italy’s only loss in this fixture in recent times was in a 2015 friendly match, otherwise they’ve been dominant against Belgium. The last time they met, Italy had a man sent off, giving Belgium the chance to pull back from 2-0 down to 2-2.
Before then, Italy had beaten Belgium in three straight matches. They are coming from a four-match unbeaten run, in which they managed three wins. The most recent of those was a 4-1 victory against Israel. With an additional point to their tally, Italy will confirm a top-two finish and a place in the quarters.
An epic battle awaits at the Stade Roi Baudouin when these two giants clash on Thursday. The first leg meeting was eventful, a player sent off and four goals scored. In most meetings between these nations, we have witnessed high scores.
Over 2.5 goals is never a rare occurrence in Belgium’s matches; the last five had 14 goals, while Italy’s last five matches produced 18 goals. Our prediction for Belgium v Italy is for over 2.5 goals.