Burnley v Brighton Betting Tips [26 July 2020]

Burnley and Brighton & Hove Albion will play at Turf Moor on the last matchday of the Premier League well aware that their ambitions are already met. Burnley start this match 9th in the standings with 54 points and host 16th placed Brighton and Hove Albion. Burnley's movement up or down is limited. They can at best finish 8th, while 10th is the lowest that they can finish – depending on other results elsewhere. Brighton have 38 points and are already assured of Premier League survival, being four points above the teams in the relegation zone.

Burnley have been one of the ‘form teams’ of the league winning four and drawing three of their last seven league matches. Each of those matches witnessed under 2.5 goals, which could be in play here. Furthermore, Burnley have lost just once in their last 15 league matches (an away loss at Manchester City), winning eight and drawing six. Additionally, Burnley have remained unbeaten at home in seven league matches, winning three and drawing four. Like their overall form, five of Burnley’s last six home league matches have witnessed under 2.5 goals.

Brighton have assured their Premier League safety, although their recent form has been patchy. The Seagulls have won just once in their last seven league matches, although drawing three. In fact, Brighton have drawn seven of their last 13 Premier League matches and have 14 draws to their name this season. That's the highest number of draws in the Premier League this season, a record shared with both Arsenal and Wolves. Even away from home, Brighton have proven to be a tough competitor staying unbeaten in their last six league trips. That said, Brighton have drawn five of those matches and wouldn’t mind taking that result for this match.

Burnley have shown great tenacity to book their top-10 spot, although falling short of European qualification by a whisker. . They have been impressive at the back and should continue to do so for this match. Brighton have already booked their Premier League safety and as such won’t have much to play for here. There is not much in play here, and the form as well as history point to a low-scoring game. We are backing this match to be low on goals.