Lazio v AC Milan Betting Tips [1 March 2024]

Lazio and AC Milan will seek to bounce back in their respective top four pushes when they meet in Serie A. Hosts Lazio are eight points off the top four and hope to shock third placed Milan in this key game. A 2-1 loss to Fiorentina in their last game dented Lazio’s hopes for European football next season. For a second time in three matches, the Rome based side dropped points from a winning position, having also fallen to Bologna. This shaky run has left them eighth, with 40 points, a massive 13 points behind Milan. It hasn’t been great defensively for Lazio in the recent games; they’ve managed just one clean sheet in their last five league matches. three times in their last five Serie A matches, Lazio have conceded more than a goal. For this game, they will have to be at their defensive best, facing the league’s second-best scoring side. They’ve however scored in each of their last five league matches. Four of their last five league games ended with over 2.5 goals. Lazio’s last two losses in the league were against sides in the top four push. They will hope to avoid another defeat here.

Milan have been dominant in this fixture and will hope to extend that in the face of a congested top four race. With 53 points from 26 matches, Milan are seven points ahead of fifth place. Three more points here would be a boost to their top four quest, and their head-to-head record should be a motivation. They have two straight wins over Lazio, and in their last six meetings they’ve won five. In this game Milan will be seeking a first win in four games. The last time out, they battled to a 1-1 draw with Atalanta having taken the lead very early. That was however an improvement from their earlier back-to-back losses to Rennes and Monza. It hasn’t been great defensively for Milan though, especially when playing away from home. In their last four away matches, they conceded 11 times. They however have a good scoring run away from home, netting at least twice in their last 10 matches on the road. Each of their last 11 matches away from home also had over 2.5 goals.

AC Milan have a good scoring run coming into this game but struggled defensively. Their defensive woes have been more on the road, and as a result, they’ve had mostly high-scoring games. Lazio have struggled in this fixture, conceding at least twice in five of the last six meetings. Three of the last five meetings between these two have also had over 2.5 goals. We expect the same here, thus our prediction for Lazio v AC Milan is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.