Mexico did what was required of them and secured a massive three points in a 1-0 win away against Honduras to all but guarantee their Qatar 2022 participation. With the top three teams advancing to the World Cup automatically and fourth place qualifying for an intercontinental playoff, Mexico’s 25 points and +7 goal differential sees them comfortably ahead of fourth place Costa Rica who have accumulated 22 points but sit on a goal differential of only +3. CONCACAF qualifying closes out the campaign in this matchday with Mexico hosting El Salvador. The visitors never threatened the top four positions this qualifying run and sit in sixth place on 10 points with a record of 2-4-7. El Salvador come into this match as heavy underdogs, unsurprising considering Los Guanacos have lost eight of their last 12 matches and have only recorded one win during that stretch.
We touched on Mexico’s lack of explosive scoring in their last match against Honduras when we backed the under 2.5 goals. The performance from El Tri ultimately proved us right as they put in an impressive defensive shift while doing enough offensively to secure the victory. We’re likely to see a similar strong defensive performance from Mexico here, as the visiting El Salvador have the second lowest goals tally in the qualifying group with just eight goals scored in their 13 matches. Combined with hosts' stellar defensive record in the Azteca Stadium where they have only conceded twice in Mexico City, a clean sheet for Mexico is a likely outcome here. This is as good of an opportunity as ever for Mexico to get out of second gear and score more than two goals - something the team has failed to do in their last 10 matches.