Vitoria Guimaraes will be seeking a third straight win when they play host to Sporting Lisbon in the Primeira Liga on Saturday. The hosts have 36 points, in sixth place while Sporting have 64 in second place. With eight matches to go Vitoria hope to get at least into the top five to secure some European football. Holding the worst defence in the top nine in the league doesn’t paint a very good picture of the home team; they have conceded 34 goals in 26 matches. Vitoria have one clean sheet in the last five matches, and that came in their most recent game - 1-0 away to Maritimo. They have scored in each of their last nine home league matches, but then even the opponent have scored in these nine games. Seven of Vitoria’s last 10 matches have produced over 2.5 goals and they have just four wins in the 10 matches.
Sporting Lisbon have done well in their recent matches; they are unbeaten in their last three matches, winning two. The reigning champions have three straight clean sheets and their only loss in the last six matches was against Porto in the League Cup. Sporting have suffered two losses in their last 10 matches and won five. They have scored two or more goals in six of their last 10 matches and half of their last 10 matches have produced over 2.5 goals. In the last five away matches, Sporting have three wins and scored two or more goals in four. Both sides have scored in three of those five away matches and Sporting have a better head to head record over Vitoria. The champions have not lost in any of their last six matches against Vitoria, winning five.
Sporting have a good run against Vitoria Guimaraes but the home team will be looking to build on their fine run ahead of this game, having won the last two. One expectation here is that this will be a high-scoring game, borrowing from these two sides’ recent matches. Back the game to produce over 2.5 goals.