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2024 Copa Libertadores Predictions

The Copa Libertadores predictions

CONMEBOL's top club competition is ready for another round with 2024 Copa Libertadores set to kick off. Fluminense are the defending champions after securing their first-ever Copa Libertadores title with a 2-1 extra-time win over Boca Juniors in Rio.

The 65th edition of the tournament will see the group stage kick off on April 2nd and run until May 30th with the knockout rounds following from August 13th to October 31st. The 2024 Copa Libertadores final is set for November 30th, 2024 with the venue yet to be announced.

Teams from Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay and Venezuela take part in this competition, providing spectators from all over the world a unique taste of this continent's wonderful footballing culture.

Beyond the title, which carries with it significance as there can only be one "King of South America'', the 2024 Copa Libertadores grants entry to the next edition of the FIFA Club World Cup, where all the winners of their respective continental competitions face off against one another. In addition, the winner is automatically qualified for the next edition of the most important club tournament in South America, being assigned to Draw 1 and Group A.

Unsurprisingly, it's Brazil that dominates the early betting markets for the 2024 Copa Libertadores winner with six of the top seven favourites coming from the nation. The last five consecutive Copas have been won by Brazilian clubs, three of which featured an all-Brazil final. Flamengo are the current favorites with Palmeiras close behind in second. Defending champions Fluminense find themselves as the third favourites heading into the tournament.

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2024 Copa Libertadores Predictions: Statistics to know

Copa Libertadores important statistics

Ahead of the 2024 edition of the competition, we've compiled some interesting statistics from the previous year's tournament which can be useful in your betting. Take a look and apply this information to your predictions in the future!

Home win percentage: 54%
Draw percentage: 25%
Away win percentage: 21%
Average goals per game: 2.49
Matches with over 1.5 goals: 70%
Matches with over 2.5 goals: 50%
Matches with over 3.5 goals: 26%
Both teams to score: 50% of matches
Average home goals: 1.55 per match
Average away goals: 0.94 per match
Goals scored in first half: 41%
Goal scored in second half: 59%
Most common scoreline: 1-0 home team (12.3%)
Second most common: 2-1 home team (12.3%)
Third and fourth: 0-0, 1-1 (10.3% and 9.7%)
Half-time most common score: 0-0 (34.2%)
Half-time second most common: 1-0 home team (22.6%)

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2024 Copa Libertadores: Our free prediction for the 2024 season

Copa Libertadores betting advice

With only one team in the last 20 years having successfully defended their Copa Libertadores crown, it's difficult to back Fernando Diniz's Fluminense side to achieve the feat. Coincidentally, our early pick to win the 2024 edition is also the one team previously mentioned. Palmeiras were on the verge of making the final of last year's tournament, falling in the semi-final by penalty shootout to Boca Juniors. Should they have prevailed, it would have marked the third time in the last five years that Verdao has made the final. You can expect to see Abel Ferreira's men in the mix when things get down to the wire as they have made at least the semis in the last four editions while being crowned champions in 2020 and 2021.

Their consistency and ability to grind out results in the big moments have us backing Palmeiras as our selection to win the 2024 Copa Libertadores.

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2024 Copa Libertadores Recap So Far

Defending champions: Fluminense are the defending champions after defeating Boca Juniors by a score of 2-1.

Past winners: Independiente are the all-time leaders with seven Copa Libertadores titles to their name, although haven't won the famous cup since 1984. Boca Juniors have lifted the cup an impressive six times with their last triumph coming in 2007. Uruguayan club Peñarol have five titles while Argentinian giants River Plate have four. Favourites Flamengo have three titles, along with Palmeiras who won the 2020 and 2021 Copa Libertadores.

Top goalscorer: Fluminense's German Cano was the current top scorer in the previous edition with 13 total goals which included a goal in the final.

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