The biggest game in the Bundesliga after the international break will feature Bayern Munich at home to Borussia Dortmund. Heading into this fixture, Bayern are 10 points behind leaders Bayer Leverkusen while Dortmund are hanging on in fourth place. No season in the last decade has Bayern Munich’s title defence been as threatened as this. With eight matches remaining, they are on 60 points, and in danger of falling further behind they fail to win here. Three wins on the bounce will be a good run to take into this game, considerably a must-win encounter for both sides. In their last game before the international break, Bayern rose from behind to beat Darmstadt 5-2. While the win was emphatic in the end, it is the difficulty in keeping clean sheets that will concern Thomas Tuchel. They’ve failed to keep one in the last eight league matches. In that period, they conceded two or more goals in five. There’s no doubt about their scoring capacities. The Bavarians have the best scoring returns in the season so far, with 78 goals. They will be keen on a double against Dortmund after beating them 4-0 in the reverse fixture.
Borussia Dortmund are coming into this game with their backs on the wall. With 50 points, they are just one ahead of fifth placed Leipzig and are facing a real top four battle. A win here will be crucial for their Champions League ambitions. They however come into this game without a win in 11 matches against Bayern Munich. The last time Dortmund tasted victory in this fixture was in the 2019 Super Cup. Last season they were on the cusp of winning their first Bundesliga title since 2012 but a final day slip saw Bayern Munich topple them. Dortmund can view this game as a chance to avenge that. Beating Bayern will not only improve their top four chances but deal a serious dent to their hosts title ambitions. Dortmund will look at their four straight wins as motivation to this. They had to put in a shift in the last game, rising from a goal down to beat Eintracht Frankfurt 3-1. Dortmund will be thankful for late goals from Mats Hummels and Emre Can for that.
These two sides have a lot to play for in this game, and we expect both to go all out. Their recent matches have returned high scores and we don’t expect it to be any different here. While they have both done well in attack, defence has been their biggest concern. Seeing goals on both ends has been a recurrent stat in their matches. Our prediction for Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund is for both teams to score and over 3.5 goals.