Borussia Dortmund v PSG Betting Tips [1 May 2024]

A third meeting of the season is upon us when Borussia Dortmund and PSG face off in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final. Dortmund hosts the first leg of this encounter as the two sides eye a place in the final, to face Bayern Munich or Real Madrid. The two sides had to come from behind in the quarter-finals, eliminating Spanish opponents. Hosts Dortmund saw off Atletico Madrid 5-4 to punch their semis ticket. The run up to this game hasn’t, however, been great for Dortmund. In their domestic league, they look set to miss out on a top-four finish. After a setback in drawing 1-1 with champions Leverkusen, Dortmund suffered a 4-1 defeat to Leipzig in their latest game. That defeat could mean they finish outside the top-four, which makes this tournament key to them. A fifth-place finish might still earn them a Champions League slot next season, but so does winning the Champions League this season. In six meetings with PSG, Dortmund managed just one win, a 2-1 victory in 2019/20. That was a home game in the last 16 of the Champions League. The Germans will be fired up for this, having not lost in 10 home matches in this competition.

PSG are targeting their first ever Champions League title and look better equipped for that this season. They come here having been crowned French champions for the 12th time and are eyeing another piece of silverware. Luis Enrique’s side battled to a 3-3 draw with Le Havre, coming from behind against the relegation threatened side. They didn’t have it smooth getting to the last four, but put down a strong marker in beating Barcelona in a 10-goal thriller. The French giants overturned a 3-2 home loss to beat Barcelona 4-1 in Spain. The last time PSG visited Dortmund was in this season’s group stages, and they drew 1-1. That marked their third unbeaten game against Dortmund, the earlier two having ended in wins. Still, the French side finished second behind Dortmund in their group. A 15-game unbeaten run away from home should be enough to motivate PSG coming into this game.

Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v PSG is for PSG to win. The French giants are charged for this encounter, coming here on the back of winning the French league. They are also on a good away run and will be fired up by their key win against Barcelona in the quarters. Dortmund haven't had a great run against PSG in the recent meetings and we feel this will be a tough encounter for them.